Daily guide · ME · 2026-09-07
The week in temperature at Montenegro's settlement station
All numbers computed from the week's published auction results at publication and frozen — this article is an honest snapshot, not a page that rewrites itself. Reproduce via the API.
Podgorica Airport ran hot and steady through the week, with maximum temperatures holding between 35 and 37 degrees while normals for the same dates sat closer to 30 to 31 degrees. The average anomaly of 5,6 degrees was not driven by a single spike but by persistent warmth: every day landed at least 4,8 degrees above normal, and the 5 and 6 September readings reached anomalies of 6,1 and 6,2 degrees against seasonal norms that had already begun their late-summer decline.
What stands out is how close these values ran to record territory. Four days qualified as near-record, and the hottest, 30 August at 37 degrees, sat above its p99 threshold of 36,7 degrees. As normals ease into September, the same absolute temperatures translate into larger departures, keeping the station near its historical ceiling even as raw values dip by a degree or two.
For tomorrow, volt-temp-4 centres on a median of 35,1 degrees, with the 35-degree bucket carrying 67,5 percent probability. The concrete takeaway: plan around 35 degrees, with limited upside risk toward 36 and little chance below 34.
Daily temperature markets don't settle on "the weather" — they settle on the finalized daily maximum at Podgorica Airport (LYPG), one specific gauge. Here's what that gauge actually did this week, against the 35-year normal for each calendar day — ground truth for anyone analyzing Podgorica temperature markets.
+5.6°C
average anomaly vs the 35-year day normal this week
37°C
week's highest daily max (2026-08-30)
4
days at or above the day-of-year P99
The week, day by day
| Day | Observed Tmax | 35y normal | Anomaly | Day P99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 37° | 31.3° | +5.7° | 36.7° |
| 2026-08-31 | 37° | 31° | +6° | 36.6° |
| 2026-09-01 | 36° | 30.8° | +5.2° | 36.5° |
| 2026-09-02 | 36° | 30.6° | +5.4° | 36.3° |
| 2026-09-03 | 36° | 30.5° | +5.5° | 36.1° |
| 2026-09-04 | 35° | 30.2° | +4.8° | 35.8° |
| 2026-09-05 | 36° | 29.9° | +6.1° | 35.3° |
| 2026-09-06 | 36° | 29.8° | +6.2° | 35.3° |
Observed values from METAR (the same ASOS feed settlement pages display); normals and P99 from NOAA ISD, 15-day windowed, leap-stable day mapping.
Tomorrow's distribution
35.1° P50 · volt-temp-4
P10 33.9° · P90 35.6°
The full product behind this page: per-station probability distributions in the exact 1°C buckets markets trade, D+1 to D+5, verified against METAR daily — plus the resolution-station registry (gauges change; Paris did in April 2026) and CME degree-day settle projections. That's the station-temperature capability included in Scale. Analytics only — never wagering advice.
Method & citation. Prices are hourly means of published day-ahead auction results (native 15-minute periods averaged; ENTSO-E/SMARD, attributed). Wholesale-price component only — grid fees and taxes come on top and vary by supplier. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com/guides/station-week-me-2026-09-07".
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