Weekly pulse · 2026-08-03 → 2026-08-09

European Power Pulse — week 2026-W32

Every figure computed from published auction results and our production accuracy tables at publication, then frozen — an honest snapshot. Reproduce via the API.

European average

€282.44/MWh

+71.95 vs prior week

Negative-price hours

263.3

across 47 zones

Forecast scoreboard

36/46 zones beat baseline

day-ahead, live production runs · full scorecard

European day-ahead prices rose sharply in week 2026-W32, with the average across 47 zones reaching 282.44 EUR/MWh, up from 210.49 the previous week. Much of that lift is concentrated in a single outlier rather than a broad continental move, so the headline figure should be read with that caveat.

The Nordic north stayed cheapest: NO4 averaged 4.93, ahead of SE1 at 12.18 and FI at 12.96, each edging lower week-over-week and each touching a floor of zero. At the other extreme, Ukraine averaged 7,845.08 with a maximum of 15,000, well clear of any other market. The next priciest zones were far below that: IT-SICI at 189.06 and IT-CNOR at 188.12.

The largest mover was again UA, up 2,979.51 on the week, followed by MK at 150.72 (up 42.53) and GR at 135.85 (up 38.39). Negative pricing was a Central and Western European story: NL logged 65 negative hours, DE-LU 59.5, FR 30, BE 19.5 and PL 14, contributing to 263.3 negative hours in total. DE-LU also set the lowest point of the week at -18.49.

On our own scoreboard, we scored 46 zones and beat the baseline in 36 of them, an average improvement of 9 percent, with IE-SEM, AT and DK1 among the strongest results; UA and MK were the two zones where we did not beat the baseline, and those losing zones are free under our accuracy guarantee.

Cheapest zones

NO4 €4.93 -1.81 WoW
SE1 €12.18 -1.83 WoW
FI €12.96 -1.73 WoW

Priciest zones

UA €7,845.08 +2979.51 WoW
IT-SICI €189.06 +4.92 WoW
IT-CNOR €188.12 +10.05 WoW

Biggest week-over-week moves

UA +2979.51 €/MWh now €7,845.08
MK +42.53 €/MWh now €150.72
GR +38.39 €/MWh now €135.85

Negative-price hours by zone

NL 65 h weekly low €-14.65
DE-LU 59.5 h weekly low €-18.49
FR 30 h weekly low €-11.28
BE 19.5 h weekly low €-13.71
PL 14 h weekly low €-3.19
Live scorecard → All research → Start with Home →

Method & citation. Zone averages are means of published day-ahead auction results over the stated week (native 15-minute periods; ENTSO-E/SMARD, attributed). Forecast scoreboard: live production runs vs the naive-persistence baseline on the same days, 24h horizon. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com/research/european-power-pulse-2026-w32".

The monthly European power roundup

Negative-price records, the biggest spreads, which zones were hardest to forecast — every number computed from our production data, on the 2nd of each month. No filler, unsubscribe anytime.