Zone explainer · recomputed continuously
What drives electricity prices in Italy Centre-South?
Data window: trailing 30 days (mix) and 2026 year-to-date (prices) · recomputed 2026-08-28T02:38Z
135.73
YTD avg €/MWh
0
negative hours YTD
0 / 300
YTD min / max €/MWh
volt-6xa
serving forecast model
The generation mix (trailing 30 days)
IT-CSUD still prices off fossil fuel (51.5% of recent generation). Gas and coal set the marginal price most hours, which ties this zone to fuel and carbon markets more than to local weather. Renewable build-out shows up as spread widening: cheap green middays against fuel-priced peaks.
The zone has cleared negative 0 hours so far this year (live counters on the tracker), inside a year-to-date range of 0 to 300 €/MWh. Our serving model (volt-6xa) currently runs 16.3% less error than the naive baseline (live, 18 scored days) — verified daily on the public scorecard.
Method. Mix shares from realized generation (ENTSO-E A75, trailing 30 days); price stats from hourly means of published day-ahead auction results (2026 YTD). Every figure recomputes continuously — this page is a query, not an essay with a shelf life. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com".
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