Zone explainer · recomputed continuously
What drives electricity prices in Poland?
Data window: trailing 30 days (mix) and 2026 year-to-date (prices) · recomputed 2026-07-13T23:42Z
109.93
YTD avg €/MWh
248
negative hours YTD
-469.23 / 629.92
YTD min / max €/MWh
volt-4
serving forecast model
The generation mix (trailing 30 days)
PL still prices off fossil fuel (59.2% of recent generation). Gas and coal set the marginal price most hours, which ties this zone to fuel and carbon markets more than to local weather. Renewable build-out shows up as spread widening: cheap green middays against fuel-priced peaks.
The zone has cleared negative 248 hours so far this year (live counters on the tracker), inside a year-to-date range of -469.23 to 629.92 €/MWh. Our serving model (volt-4) currently runs 14.3% less error than the naive baseline (backtest, 29 scored days) — verified daily on the public scorecard.
Method. Mix shares from realized generation (ENTSO-E A75, trailing 30 days); price stats from hourly means of published day-ahead auction results (2026 YTD). Every figure recomputes continuously — this page is a query, not an essay with a shelf life. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com".