Zone explainer · recomputed continuously

What drives electricity prices in Serbia?

Data window: trailing 30 days (mix) and 2026 year-to-date (prices) · recomputed 2026-07-13T23:44Z

96.18

YTD avg €/MWh

42

negative hours YTD

-45.5 / 800

YTD min / max €/MWh

volt-3

serving forecast model

The generation mix (trailing 30 days)

Wind 2.9% Solar 0% Hydro 24.4% Nuclear 0% Fossil 71.3%

RS still prices off fossil fuel (71.3% of recent generation). Gas and coal set the marginal price most hours, which ties this zone to fuel and carbon markets more than to local weather. Renewable build-out shows up as spread widening: cheap green middays against fuel-priced peaks.

The zone has cleared negative 42 hours so far this year (live counters on the tracker), inside a year-to-date range of -45.5 to 800 €/MWh. Our serving model (volt-3) currently runs 17.2% less error than the naive baseline (backtest, 28 scored days) — verified daily on the public scorecard.

Live RS prices → See it on the terminal → Get the API →

Method. Mix shares from realized generation (ENTSO-E A75, trailing 30 days); price stats from hourly means of published day-ahead auction results (2026 YTD). Every figure recomputes continuously — this page is a query, not an essay with a shelf life. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com".