Zone explainer · recomputed continuously
What drives electricity prices in Serbia?
Data window: trailing 30 days (mix) and 2026 year-to-date (prices) · recomputed 2026-08-28T08:23Z
102.38
YTD avg €/MWh
42
negative hours YTD
-45.5 / 800
YTD min / max €/MWh
volt-6xa
serving forecast model
The generation mix (trailing 30 days)
RS still prices off fossil fuel (75% of recent generation). Gas and coal set the marginal price most hours, which ties this zone to fuel and carbon markets more than to local weather. Renewable build-out shows up as spread widening: cheap green middays against fuel-priced peaks.
The zone has cleared negative 42 hours so far this year (live counters on the tracker), inside a year-to-date range of -45.5 to 800 €/MWh. Our serving model (volt-6xa) currently runs 28.5% less error than the naive baseline (live, 19 scored days) — verified daily on the public scorecard.
Method. Mix shares from realized generation (ENTSO-E A75, trailing 30 days); price stats from hourly means of published day-ahead auction results (2026 YTD). Every figure recomputes continuously — this page is a query, not an essay with a shelf life. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com".
The monthly European power roundup
Negative-price records, the biggest spreads, which zones were hardest to forecast — every number computed from our production data, on the 2nd of each month. No filler, unsubscribe anytime.