State of European Power · October 2025

State of European Power — October 2025

Published 2025-11-02 · every figure recomputed live from the Voltcast production database (last: 2026-07-13T23:54Z) · reproduce any number via the API

433

negative price-hours across 43 zones in October 2025

86.74

average day-ahead price, €/MWh, across covered zones

25

zones that cleared below zero at least once

October 2025 closed with 433 negative price-hours across the 43 European bidding zones with full coverage this month — 25 of them cleared below zero at least once. Negative prices are no longer an anomaly; they are a structural feature of a grid where solar and wind routinely outrun demand.

The cheapest market of the month was NO4 (average 4.52 €/MWh); the priciest was MK (125.63 €/MWh) — a 121 €/MWh gap between two markets inside one coupled European system, which is the whole story of constrained interconnection in one number.

DE-LU logged the most negative hours (49), and the widest intra-month price range belonged to EE: from -0.14 to 1000.02 €/MWh (1000.16 €/MWh of spread — the raw material for every battery business case). The single deepest print of the month was -94.59 €/MWh in SE1 on 2025-10-02.

Every zone, one table

ZoneAvg €/MWhMinMaxNegative hours
AT 108.3 -0.55 370.27 1
BE 74.99 -4.95 290.58 31
BG 121.8 0.29 478.91 0
CH 106.25 5 165 0
CZ 95.65 -1.72 400.62 7
DE-LU 84.69 -10.84 416.7 49
DK1 78.15 -3.66 407.21 30
DK2 82.1 -1.91 407.27 15
EE 89.69 -0.14 1000.02 11
ES 75.63 -2.45 217.9 16
FI 48.98 -0.14 456.11 25
FR 57.36 -2.45 156.52 20
GR 112.31 -3.27 478.91 20
HR 113.15 0.25 426.76 0
HU 122.1 0.31 491.15 0
IE-SEM 97.02 -18.39 323.29 26
IT-CALA 105.43 0 180.97 0
IT-CNOR 112.4 10.84 180.97 0
IT-CSUD 112.06 10.84 180.97 0
IT-NORD 112.16 10.84 172.17 0
IT-SARD 105.15 0 172.51 0
IT-SICI 105.86 0 199.66 0
IT-SUD 104.05 0 180.97 0
LT 105.08 -0.02 1000.1 3
LV 105.08 -0.02 1000.1 3
ME 118.41 4 353 0
MK 125.63 2 500.02 0
NL 82.29 -4.84 371.73 46
NO1 50.33 0.18 168.05 0
NO2 59.47 -0.6 231.25 7
NO3 24.54 -6.48 107.65 1
NO4 4.52 -11.71 64.21 34
NO5 47.93 1.26 81.06 0
PL 104.95 -0.11 410.48 5
PT 76.35 -2.45 217.9 10
RO 121.9 0.29 478.91 0
RS 123.68 2 441.99 0
SE1 12.98 -74.11 80 12
SE2 12.32 -0.53 89.57 22
SE3 57.16 -1.3 413.16 17
SE4 64.83 -1.78 413.74 16
SI 110.38 0.24 411.86 0
SK 96.51 -1.72 371.86 6

Method & citation. Hourly means over all published day-ahead auction results per zone (native 15-minute periods averaged per hour); zones with under 20 reported days excluded. Sources: ENTSO-E Transparency Platform, SMARD (CC BY 4.0). Reproduce via GET /api/v1/prices/{zone}. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com/research/state-of-european-power-2025-10".