State of European Power · January 2026

State of European Power — January 2026

Published 2026-02-02 · every figure recomputed live from the Voltcast production database (last: 2026-07-13T23:52Z) · reproduce any number via the API

43

negative price-hours across 43 zones in January 2026

119.98

average day-ahead price, €/MWh, across covered zones

4

zones that cleared below zero at least once

January 2026 closed with 43 negative price-hours across the 43 European bidding zones with full coverage this month — 4 of them cleared below zero at least once. Negative prices are no longer an anomaly; they are a structural feature of a grid where solar and wind routinely outrun demand.

The cheapest market of the month was PT (average 71.04 €/MWh); the priciest was EE (154.39 €/MWh) — a 83 €/MWh gap between two markets inside one coupled European system, which is the whole story of constrained interconnection in one number.

ES logged the most negative hours (15), and the widest intra-month price range belonged to PL: from -2.35 to 512.16 €/MWh (514.51 €/MWh of spread — the raw material for every battery business case). The single deepest print of the month was -8.31 €/MWh in PL on 2026-01-02.

Every zone, one table

ZoneAvg €/MWhMinMaxNegative hours
AT 141.05 44 316.82 0
BE 108.57 15.11 219.4 0
BG 148.55 18.11 455.24 0
CH 133.25 85.2 252.65 0
CZ 130.91 34.99 260.1 0
DE-LU 110.14 -0.01 276.74 4
DK1 105.63 2.55 277.38 0
DK2 109.93 2.56 276.15 0
EE 154.39 7.65 441.58 0
ES 71.53 -0.44 183.15 15
FI 117.19 7.65 334.57 0
FR 100.7 9.58 213.59 0
GR 108.68 0 378.49 0
HR 143.17 27.05 342.09 0
HU 150.41 26.86 418.74 0
IE-SEM 126.95 48.39 287.39 0
IT-CALA 127.52 10 206.28 0
IT-CNOR 133.9 89.94 215 0
IT-CSUD 132.13 82.02 206.28 0
IT-NORD 133.84 89.94 215 0
IT-SARD 132.07 82.02 206.28 0
IT-SICI 127.52 10 206.28 0
IT-SUD 127.58 10 206.28 0
LT 152.42 7.65 441.58 0
LV 153.39 7.65 441.58 0
ME 103.41 0 312.01 0
MK 121.85 0.1 365 0
NL 107.66 5.99 249.01 0
NO1 108.92 38.1 295.65 0
NO2 105.33 37.61 256.34 0
NO3 102.2 37.45 241.92 0
NO4 71.18 7.39 253.91 0
NO5 107.07 67.1 272.93 0
PL 143.76 -2.35 512.16 9
PT 71.04 -0.44 183.15 15
RO 150.51 25.71 455.24 0
RS 118.03 0 400.2 0
SE1 87.94 5.11 265.71 0
SE2 88.17 4.68 267.06 0
SE3 101.5 3.21 273.18 0
SE4 105.74 2.71 297.24 0
SI 140.84 27.28 320.79 0
SK 142.52 27.78 365.35 0

Method & citation. Hourly means over all published day-ahead auction results per zone (native 15-minute periods averaged per hour); zones with under 20 reported days excluded. Sources: ENTSO-E Transparency Platform, SMARD (CC BY 4.0). Reproduce via GET /api/v1/prices/{zone}. Cite as "Voltcast Research, voltcast.com/research/state-of-european-power-2026-01".